Мухаметов Р.С., Кузнецов А.Ю., Корнильцева Е.Г., Лагутина Е.Е. Малый округ – больше возможностей? Эмпирическая проверка взаимосвязи между размером избирательного одномандатного округа и представительством женщин в парламентах субъектов РФ

Научная статья
УДК 324
https://doi.org/10.24158/pep.2026.9.13

Малый округ – больше возможностей?

Эмпирическая проверка взаимосвязи

между размером избирательного одномандатного округа

и представительством женщин в парламентах субъектов РФ

 
Руслан Салихович Мухаметов¹, Александр Юрьевич Кузнецов²,
Елена Геннадьевна Корнильцева³, Евгения Евгеньевна Лагутина^4
1,2,4Уральский федеральный университет, Екатеринбург, Россия,
^3,4Уральский государственный экономический университет, Екатеринбург, Россия,
¹muhametov2007@yandex.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5175-8300
²kuznetsov0403@mail.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5495-297X
³kornilceva.e@yandex.ru, https://orcid.org/0009-0009-8203-2703
⁴lagutinaee@usue.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0778-6379
 
Аннотация. В России сохраняются значительные региональные различия в уровне женского представительства (от 2,0 % до 44,4 %). Проблема заключается в слабой изученности причин этой вариативности, особенно роли институциональных факторов. Авторы проверяют, способствует ли меньший размер избирательных округов избранию женщин за счет снижения барьеров для входа в политику. Использованы данные о составе региональных парламентов РФ, численности избирателей в округах и социально-экономические показатели. Применен метод множественной линейной регрессии. Рабочая гипотеза не подтвердилась: размер округа не показал статистически значимой связи с долей женщин-депутатов. Авторы приходят к выводу, что это ставит под сомнение эффективность данного институционального инструмента в российском контексте. Значимая отрицательная взаимосвязь выявлена только для коэффициента рождаемости, что указывает на барьеры для женщин в т. н. консервативных регионах. Показано, что институциональные реформы недостаточны без трансформации социокультурных условий и партийных практик.
Ключевые слова: одномандатный округ, избирательная система, региональный парламент, субъект РФ, политическое представительство, участие женщин
Финансирование: инициативная работа.
Для цитирования: Мухаметов Р.С., Кузнецов А.Ю., Корнильцева Е.Г., Лагутина Е.Е. Малый округ – больше возможностей? Эмпирическая проверка взаимосвязи между размером избирательного одномандатного округа и представительством женщин в парламентах субъектов РФ // Общество: политика, экономика, право. 2026. № 9. С. 104–112. https://doi.org/10.24158/pep.2026.9.13.
 
Original article
 

Smaller District, More Opportunities?

An Empirical Test of the Relationship

Between the Size of a Single-Member District

and Women’s Representation in Regional Parliaments of the Russian Federation

 
Ruslan S. Mukhametov¹, Alexander Yu. Kuznetsov²,
Elena G. Korniltseva³, Evgeniya E. Lagutina^4
1,2,4Ural Federal University, Ekaterinburg, Russia,
^3,4Ural State University of Economics, Ekaterinburg, Russia,
¹muhametov2007@yandex.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5175-8300
²kuznetsov0403@mail.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5495-297X
³kornilceva.e@yandex.ru, https://orcid.org/0009-0009-8203-2703
⁴lagutinaee@usue.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0778-6379
 
Abstract. Russia upholds substantial regional differences in female representation ranging from 2.0% to 44.4%. The problem includes an insufficient knowledge of the causes of this variation, especially the role of institutional factors. The authors examine whether smaller single-member districts promote to elect women by means of making the barriers lower for their entry into politics. The data from the composition of the regional parliaments of the Russian Federation, number of the voters in the districts, and socio-economic indicators. The method of multiple linear regression is used. The working hypothesis has not been confirmed: the volume of the district does not show a statistical meaningful connection with a proportion of women deputies. The authors conclude that this brings into question the effectiveness of the institutional tool in the Russian context. The significant negative interrelation has been turned up only for the coefficient of birth rate that indicates the barriers for women in so called conservative regions. It is demonstrated that institutional reforms are insufficient with no party practices and socio-cultural circumstances transformations.
Keywords: single-member district, electoral system, regional parliament, subject of the Russian Federation, political representation, women’s participation
Funding: Independent work.
For citation: Mukhametov, R.S., Kuznetsov, A.Yu., Korniltseva, E.G. & Lagutina, E.E. (2026) Smaller District, More Opportunities? An Empirical Test of the Relationship Between the Size of a Single-Member District and Women’s Representation in Regional Parliaments of the Russian Federation. Society: Politics, Economics, Law. (9), 104–112. Available from: doi:10.24158/pep.2026.9.13 (In Russian).

© Мухаметов Р.С., Кузнецов А.Ю., Корнильцева Е.Г., Лагутина Е.Е., 2026

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